Value Staking Explained

If you are just a beginner in sports wagering, you could sometimes catch more skillful bookmakers mention 'the value'. It is typical to hear from a veteran sporting gambler say words similar to “There isn’t value with Manchester United at that cost”. Thus, what are they mentioning exactly?


The way to identify value wagers

The key to effective wagering is in finding value staking cases. A value wagering case is one where the odds on a bid from a punter reveal a likelihood that is less to the real possibility of that outcome to take place.

Therefore, let us take a coin flip illustration.

With the flip of a coin, there are two likely results. You will see either heads or tails. (The coin might also land on its side. However, the possibility of that is minor).

The prospect (or odds) of the coin to land on either heads or tails is equal:

50% each side.


By means of this possibility, measuring the chances would provide us with a decimal cost of 2.00 H and 2.00 for T. For instance, 100/50 = 2.00.

Hence, suppose two bettors.

  • Punter A offers 1.90 odds on H whereas
  • Bookie B offers 2.10 odds.

Imagine we wish to stake on the heads side of the coin, so which of these bettors is offering value?

We can compute the value like this:

(Chance multiplied by the figure of decimal odds) subtract 100%

Hence, let's observe at Bookie A.

  • He is bidding us at 1.90.

We compute the value:

(50% times 1.90) – minus 100%

= equals


At -5%, Bettor A is offering us less than factual value staking. This is not a wager we would like to take. It is not a value condition.

Let us analyze Punter B.

  • He is bidding us at 2.10.

If we estimate the value:

(50% times 2.10) - 100%



Bookie B offers us a 5% value to stake on heads in a coin flip. We would want to have this opportunity daily if it was possible. It is definitely a fantastic value chance.

The Bettor's Gain

Listen to the contrary news.

No punter will ever offer you a value state similar to the coin flip case. 
If one of them did, he would leave the industry rapidly.

Actually, wagerers never plan to bid value events at all. They normally aim to offer chances that are lower than value staking.

For instance, a realistic bettor will offer odds on coin flip ranging from 1.90 for H and a 1.90 for T.

Suppose they obtain £100 worth of wagers on H and £100 worth of stakes on T, measuring a total of £200 value of wagers ultimately. So imagine that heads succeed. The punter will pay out the 1.90 odds for the £100 cost of wagers on H, basically paying out £190.

However, they approved £200 worth of stakes, you may say.

It is true. Moreover, they keep the £10 in their pockets. This is generally named as the commission, yet normally also called the Vig or the Juice. This is how a bettor earns his money, by not bidding full value odds. The discussion of this is going to follow in the later guide.

A realistic sample of value bookmaking

The next, let us see a more actual life sample of computing value.

A football game:

Suppose Man U is performing with 2.50 odds to win.

The odds of 2.50 on bid indicate a possibility of MUFC winning at 40%. Suppose we have done our task and have measured our individual possibility of United winning at 50%.

We measure the value:

(50% times 2.50) – minus 100%



Bravo. If our assessed chance of a Man U win is correct, we have spotted a very striking value staking condition. Instead, if our calculated chance was lower than the punter odds inferred the   40% odds, the likelihood of 2.50 would not signify value.

How can we determine value-staking situations?

What happens if bookies do not bid full value odds? How do we notice value cases? Seems like an everlasting query. This is the ultimate goal for everyone who wants to take on the bookmakers and grow into a successful long-run sports bettor.

We are going to talk over various strategies for recognizing the value in upcoming guides. For the beginning, it is significant that you have an understanding of the basic concept of staking value. To be exact, if you estimate the odds of a result as more possible to take place than the likeliness inferred by the bettor's odds, then it is a value wager.